honda cbr 600

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  • malaGCPahije
    03-13 03:51 PM
    If that is correct (same category spill over) EB3 has a very very distant hope of getting some spill over when EB3 ROW becomes C and does not use all numbers. I was of the opinion before that the un-used numbers from EB3 ROW will go to EB1 and then EB2 India.

    My best wishes to everyone too....





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  • axp817
    03-31 08:39 AM
    So do you think they are going after AC21 folks as a scapegoat? I spoke to few people on this including lawyers and they say that "denials on 485" when 140 gets revoked is a common thing and usually the officer who issues the denial letter does not check and verify to see other details. Thats why they have to go through the MTR process.

    Although, UN seems to suspect that there might be more beneath the surface here.

    What still beats me is that if the 140 had problems, why would they even bother requesting for AC21 evidence and not just deny the 485 in the first place.

    Unless..., when the 140 got revoked they realized that it had been more than a 180 days since the 485 was filed, and gave the applicant the benefit of doubt and asked for a new EVL, but while the applicant was in the process of replying to the NOID, they did some more digging, found that the underlying approved 140 had ability to pay (or other) issues and then denied the 485 on that basis.

    UN,
    You seem to be 'in the know' about this case/applicant, do you happen to know what the next steps are/would be/should be in this particular case?

    Thanks,





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  • gsc999
    07-14 02:49 AM
    It is good to see so many members sign up for tomorrow. I am expecting a huge turn out.

    If you are still a maybe, you just might be missing out on being part of this unprecedented rally by legal immigrants in San Jose.

    Volunteers: Please try to come to the venue at 10:30 a.m. for briefing on assignments.

    Lets make this a success!





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  • ndialani
    11-03 04:02 PM
    1 week after getting approved, I got the card in mail today.

    All the work that I put in the last 2 month to get my file picked finally comes to an end here. It's good to see that people are proactively calling USCIS and following up on their cases.

    Good luck to all EB2 folks who are current and waiting and to all the EB3 folks, hope you guys become current soon.

    Keep the faith...

    Congrats Caliguy!!!
    I ve been following your case !
    How many times did you call IO ?
    First time i called ,IO(Male voice) said my I140 shows EB3 catagory
    Today , i called again, IO (Female-Janet), she said ,other officer didnt know what to look for , your application is Preadj. and in line to be assigned to an IO for processing.
    I dont know , whom to believe.
    Any suggestions???



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  • smisachu
    07-30 11:47 AM
    You can trade commodities like stocks by taking a directional bet on long term price movement. But this is what you need to consider. Stocks always trade in Spot. If you buy MSFT you own shares of Microsoft today. Although single stock futures (SSF) are available now we will not look at derivatives right now.

    Commodities are traded as futures. You can buy Soy futures today for December delivery or lean hogs for dec 2010 delivery.
    Under conditions of No-Arbitrage the price of the future will be the price of the spot plus storage and delivery costs. If for example 3 month LSC (Light Sweet crude) is trading on NYMEX at $60; the cost of storage and delivery is say $20 for 3 months. Then 6 month LSC should be trading at $80. But if you look at the contract it might be trading at $55.

    The reason being fundamentals. The peak driving season or the hurricane season is over and heating oil season is not yet on us or by looking at weather derivatives traders are factoring in milder winter. The leader of Iran has declared he will step down from office and retire to Hawaii, the rebels in Nigeria have turned themselves in and joined a church missionary..stuff like that.

    So you might believe these fundamental assumptions or you might do your own research and say that the traders are wrong and they are discounting critical factors and the price should be more. So you can go long the future and hope for an increase in price and sell the future before delivery for a profit. This is the expensive route but you will never be wiped out for sure. Price of crude may drop but will never go to zero.

    Or you trade options on the futures, for example:
    Borrow money (leverage) buy the call; short delta units of the future contract and invest the proceeds at the risk free rate.
    If you are correct the call will end up in the money, the shorted futures will loose value but since it is “delta” units it is only a portion of the position and the invested money will earn you the risk free rate. So you make some money on the call and loose some on the hedge and net you will profit. (Hopefully to cover the transaction costs and taxes)

    If you are wrong (price falls) your call will expire worth less so you are wiped out there, your short will increase in value and you will still earn the risk free rate. So although net you will loose money it will not be as much as a naked call because of delta hedging.

    This is explained in very very simple terms. Each transaction step will indicate modeling prices to know if the future is priced correctly, if the option is priced correctly and if the leverage you are getting is correct. Plus modeling future price movements and expected rate of returns and the most primary thing in any transaction the “Alpha”. Source of alpha should be very clearly defined. Let me go a bit deep and include some simple math:

    E[R] = Alpha + betaR + epsalon

    Where E[R] is the expected return-(see statists for more on expectation functions.)
    alphais the excess return
    betaR is market return or what the price of the commodity does in the duration chosen. (Market betais 1)
    epsalonis error term or un explained return.

    (Sorry the greek symbols did not display so I wrote words)

    This is a kindergarten model of modeling your alpha. As there are many variables you will use a multi variant model to figure out return. Plus as I said in my previous post you have to model jumps. Jumps are spikes of very short duration which will only be seen in a log normal price distribution. A Gaussian distribution might not be changed much because of a spike of small duration. For example if you are trading electricity and the temperature in NJ hits 110 degrees, there is going to be a spike on that day for electricity prices but this will fall as soon as temperature falls.

    And the core issue of all is you need to have access to products as indicated by puddonhead plus money and leverage capacity and risk bearing capacity. As you see this is not for the faint of heart or for some one to do part time. If you are really sophisticated and can do this with good resources, fine or else my advice is stick to stocks or stock derivatives. Hedge funds have teams of quants and super computers sitting and doing this every day. They will vacuum out even the slightest of alpha out there; they will simply take your money if you enter into a wrong trade. If someone is a quant and does this for a living then if his contract allows it or if his licensing allows it legally he can do it on the side but apart from it definitely not something the retail investor should indulge in. Just invest in some ETF like GLD or USO or some commodity mutual funds at the max.

    Best of luck!!





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  • prashanthg
    08-19 01:53 PM
    EB3:mad::confused:

    Total Pending applications :700,000 after Jul-07
    EB3 : 385000 (at 55% of the total)
    EB3-I: 115000 (at 30% of the 385000)
    # of pending apps before Sep-2002: 11500 (at 10% of 115000)

    EB3-I quota per year: 2940 (at 7% of EB-3(42000))
    Years before my priority date becomes current: 3.9:mad::mad:



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  • Immi_Chant
    01-31 06:53 PM
    Hope to see its as the Most Popular Question # 1 and #2 !!!! (though it will be bit over estimate).:)





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  • furiouspride
    04-17 01:51 PM
    I dont see any issues here. he is applicable, he has required skill and education. he should be file for EB2
    The fact that he's asking whether he qualifies for one, on an online forum,shows his level of skill and education. Enough said :)



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  • puddonhead
    07-30 08:51 AM
    Hello IVians,
    As we all await our GCs, I thot we can explore some investment vehicles.

    Does anyone here have experience with commodity trading?
    Can we trade in commodities on H1 or L1 status?
    Is it too risky like forex trading?
    Who are the online brokers offer commodity trading?
    Is there a minimum account balance / trade required every month or so?

    Pls share your experience. Thanks!

    Commodity trading is probably the most "fundamental driven" (as opposed to being driven by chartists) out of all trading activities I have seen. So theoretically, you are at the least disadvantage in commodities market against the big guys if you know your fundamentals right.

    However, the very reason there is less technical trading in that market - lack of liquidity - again works against the average Joe. The most liquid of them - the Crude Oil future in Nymex - has a minimum lot size of 10,000 barrels - worth about $60k now. Any smaller sized derivatives (think of miNY futures etc) - come with significant liquidity or transaction cost penalties.

    All in all, I personally think that a rational investor should prefer a market with the following criteria:
    1. As much liquidity as possible. A liquid market will make stop loss the least painful. If you are a rational investor - stop loss is your lifeline.
    Commodities market is not very liquid. The most liquid market in the world is FX - followed by equities.

    2. As little special advantages for the big guys as possible.
    The worst offender here is FX. Since these things are not traded in a listed exchanges - the big guys don't have to publish anything other than the bid and ask prices. Talk about a transparent price discovery. :confused: . Commodities market - specially the electricity market - used to have a lot of the opacity which benefited the big guys a few years ago. Some of the recent regulations have done away with much of this. I have personally worked on creating some of these so called "Chinese walls" mandated by new regulations.

    That's all of my 2 cents. :)





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  • ashkam
    07-11 11:28 AM
    Where did you get the information that it would take a year and half. Is it just a guess!!!

    Being largely ignorant of law, I wouldn't guess. Comment 34 on this thread and elsewhere on other threads.



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  • HONDA CBR 600 RR (2007)



  • desi3933
    01-22 10:30 AM
    They can challenge the legality of the memo. You do not need employer for that.

    on what legal grounds, may I ask?


    _________________
    Not a legal advice.





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  • jahnavi
    04-18 01:22 PM
    I Have done my part of contribution .



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  • Macaca
    01-29 05:54 PM
    This should make the priority dates move faster than now.


    Why will it move PDs faster than now? Thanks.





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  • trueguy
    08-19 03:24 PM
    Total AOS applications pending as of June-2008 is 740,969.
    What percentage of them is Eb-3? where did you get that 55% from?
    What % of EB3 is from india? Where did you get that 30% from?

    Thanks,
    g

    This pending AOS number (740,969) includes family based AOS and EB based. So we should ask them how many of these are EB based (including EB2/EB3).

    Mr Gotcher said one time that there are about 400K EB cases pending. So if that is true and USCIS doesn't waste any visas going forward then this backlog should clear in about 3-4 years assuming same rate of new applications in EB2 category



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  • transmogrify
    06-09 12:43 PM
    the chavPod!





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  • sbindval
    06-03 03:51 PM
    called all of them.



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  • dpp
    11-01 04:05 PM
    These things are not going to fly. Just go back and work. When time comes GC will come to your mail box, until then keep extending your status, work and enjoy the life. Why do you think too much and lose mental balance.





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  • jelo
    04-27 12:58 PM
    I am not talking like anyone, just expressing my views. Please refrain your self from pointing fingers to any member. I did not come through a consulting company, hope this makes you happy.

    mr Ganduteli please dont make comments on either visa status, my wife or any substitute labor as none of them apply to my case.


    likewise please do not generalize any working type or business which is legally allowed to operate in US just because you are not working for that.
    Please restrain from posting anything negative which will not help anybody.





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  • Chiwere
    08-11 02:41 PM
    Done

    EB3I Jul 2003





    NolaIndian32
    10-08 12:30 PM
    Guys, on a side note, please be aware that while you are residing/employed in the US and you pay and file tax returns for your employment in the US, per US laws/regs you have to pay taxes on your "worldwide income". Now there is a dollor for rupee tax credit, but assets taxed in the two countries differ and their rates differ too. So if you buy property in the India while in the US you may need to declare it or any rental income you may receive from it on your US Tax Returns while you continue to reside/work in the US.

    It is pretty complicated and you will need the services of an International Tax Accountant.

    Disclaimer: I am not an accountant, please do your own research based on the generlaized information in this post.





    guchi472000
    04-06 07:10 PM
    :confused:No LUD but got RFE on I-485(Employment Verification from employer)